Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +275 UCD -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +8 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -5.2 (-2.8) | 140.8 (-24.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -7.3 (-0.7) | 138.8 (-22.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -6.1 (-1.9) | 138.9 (-22.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -5.6 (-2.4) | 140.1 (-24.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CSUN 94 – 78 UCD |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCD 89 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CSUN 65 – 62 UCD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CSUN 73 – 61 UCD |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCD 66 – 65 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#307) | 1.4 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#356) | -0.12 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.52 (#354) | 0.08 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#363) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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