Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -450 WCU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +19 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -9.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -6.3 (+12.7) | 144.9 (+26.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -9.6 (+9.4) | 146.7 (+24.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -5.4 (+13.6) | 146.1 (+24.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.4 (+12.6) | 145.3 (+25.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#141) | -3.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#174) | -0.54 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#155) | -0.82 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#169) | 0.463 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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