Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +140 NCAT -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NCAT -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -3.6 (-5.4) | 144.5 (+6.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -1.6 (-7.4) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -3.5 (-5.5) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -4.0 (-5.0) | 145.0 (+6.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | NCAT 102 – 82 ELON |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ELON 69 – 64 NCAT |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NCAT 60 – 59 ELON |
| Jan 3, 2025 | ELON 75 – 67 NCAT |
| Feb 3, 2024 | ELON 69 – 65 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#342) | -6.1 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.40 (#363) | -0.96 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.59 (#362) | -1.16 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#362) | 0.462 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.