Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +275 GWEB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -6.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (+36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -6.5 (+5.5) | 130.0 (+27.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -5.9 (+4.9) | 126.6 (+30.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -6.4 (+5.4) | 130.5 (+26.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -6.0 (+5.0) | 131.7 (+25.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#331) | 0.8 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#347) | -0.70 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#338) | -0.69 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#358) | 0.446 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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