Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -28.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -23.8 (-17.8) | 134.4 (+25.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -22.6 (-16.6) | 130.2 (+29.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -20.5 (-14.5) | 134.5 (+25.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -23.7 (-17.7) | 136.4 (+23.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2022 | HOU 74 – 55 USF |
| Jan 6, 2022 | HOU 83 – 66 USF |
| Feb 28, 2021 | HOU 98 – 52 USF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | HOU 82 – 65 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Away | 11-0 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 23.3 (#1) | -0.7 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#3) | -0.96 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.74 (#3) | -0.81 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#12) | 0.453 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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