Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -25.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -19.4 (-0.4) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -18.9 (+0.1) | 128.4 (+0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -19.8 (-0.8) | 133.3 (-4.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -20.3 (-1.3) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | HOU 83 – 77 USF |
| Jan 6, 2022 | HOU 83 – 66 USF |
| Feb 28, 2021 | HOU 98 – 52 USF |
| Feb 11, 2021 | HOU 82 – 65 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 16-1 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#5) | -1.7 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#14) | -0.64 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#9) | -0.41 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#13) | 0.463 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.