Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Patriot League · Sojka Pavilion · January 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -7.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money BUCK -333 / L-MD +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total BUCK win
Actual L-MD +10 124 Lost
Massey BUCK -11.4 (-21.4) — —
Massey Totals — 133.4 (-9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BUCK -7.5 (-17.5) 131.9 (-7.9) 77% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BUCK -6.3 (-16.3) 130.5 (-6.5) 72% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BUCK -8.0 (-18.0) 135.2 (-11.2) 79% ✗
Baseline ML BUCK -8.4 (-18.4) 135.2 (-11.2) 76% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK
Jan 10, 2026 BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD
Mar 7, 2025 BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD
Feb 27, 2025 BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD
Jan 30, 2025 BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BUCK L-MD
Overall 12-20 13-20
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 7-7 9-6
Away 3-13 3-13
Neutral 2-0 1-1
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 65.9
Avg Pts Against 69.0 71.8
Massey -5.3 (#264) -12.6 (#347)
Bradley-Terry -1.66 (#316) -2.11 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.87 (#306) -2.76 (#340)
RPI 0.404 (#329) 0.388 (#344)
Shooting & Four Factors BUCK L-MD
FG% 45.6% 42.8%
3PT% 33.1% 33.9%
REB / G 35.1 29.1
OREB / G 8.7 8.9
AST / TO 1.01 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 49.4%
TOV% 20.9% 23.2%
ORB% 27.6% 26.4%
FT Rate 19.5% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 57.5%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 21.0%
DRB% 73.4% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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