Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -2000 MONM +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -24.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -19.9 (+0.1) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -15.2 (+4.8) | 142.8 (-8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -18.9 (+1.1) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -21.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (-8.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 3-10 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#125) | -17.6 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#98) | -2.51 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#93) | -3.09 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#65) | 0.417 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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