Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -300 HAMP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -11.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -8.5 (+7.5) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -8.3 (+7.7) | 139.2 (+6.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -8.9 (+7.1) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -9.2 (+6.8) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#280) | -13.3 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#273) | -2.45 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#288) | -3.05 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#248) | 0.405 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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