Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -400 LAS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -12.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -9.9 (-10.9) | 147.5 (+7.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -9.0 (-10.0) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -9.6 (-10.6) | 146.6 (+8.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -10.0 (-11.0) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#136) | -6.2 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#94) | -0.67 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | -1.30 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#83) | 0.462 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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