Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -700 UALB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -11.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -8.8 (+8.2) | 151.7 (+3.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -8.3 (+8.7) | 150.6 (+4.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -8.7 (+8.3) | 153.1 (+1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -8.8 (+8.2) | 152.2 (+2.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -8.7 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -1.39 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | -1.77 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#149) | 0.453 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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