Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +3 | 211 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+73.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -5.6 (-2.6) | 142.7 (+68.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -5.4 (-2.4) | 139.6 (+71.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -5.9 (-2.9) | 137.5 (+73.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -6.2 (-3.2) | 139.3 (+71.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2023 | MEM 81 – 76 UCF |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MEM 64 – 63 UCF |
| Mar 12, 2022 | MEM 85 – 69 UCF |
| Feb 6, 2022 | MEM 88 – 60 UCF |
| Jan 13, 2022 | UCF 74 – 64 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#36) | 8.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#44) | 1.79 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#31) | 2.48 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#36) | 0.603 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.