Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +120 HPU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +37 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -1.4 (+35.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -1.7 (+35.3) | 154.1 (+20.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -1.8 (+35.2) | 155.4 (+19.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -1.3 (+35.7) | 153.2 (+21.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -1.0 (+36.0) | 153.8 (+21.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#289) | -3.7 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#292) | -0.54 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#285) | -1.03 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#297) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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