Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–20 on winners spread MAE 7.9 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +3.7 145.6 62% 55–65 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +10.3 132.3 84% 49–68 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida International +9.6 134.6 82% 67–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic -0.7 143.4 48% 73–83 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +1.6 144.5 58% 78–59 ✗
Bryant @ Saint Francis -4.2 152.9 28% 89–82 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis Brooklyn +3.9 144.2 64% 64–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's +5.9 124.3 75% 53–69 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Long Island University +6.9 154.1 78% 75–79 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -13.0 139.5 13% 54–52 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Winthrop +7.6 150.6 77% 54–64 ✓
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -14.1 125.1 11% 61–55 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -2.7 137.2 36% 57–58 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State +0.2 139.6 51% 67–63 ✗
Towson @ Hofstra +2.4 140.7 60% 78–68 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -1.2 139.3 44% 65–78 ✗
James Madison @ Northeastern +0.5 147.1 50% 76–71 ✗
Charleston @ William & Mary -6.9 152.5 22% 84–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Sam Houston +6.7 142.7 75% 53–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stephen F. Austin -0.2 138.4 47% 59–78 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +7.9 149.7 79% 66–76 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +11.6 144.0 86% 78–91 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion +4.9 143.8 71% 64–79 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +7.0 153.3 76% 106–99 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian -0.3 147.7 46% 97–87 ✓
Robert Morris @ UIC +4.0 147.0 64% 75–80 ✓
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +8.7 142.4 81% 60–59 ✗
St. Thomas @ Kansas City +4.1 144.4 77% 72–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +6.6 159.1 77% 90–85 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota State +13.8 150.1 88% 64–71 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota -4.0 146.7 32% 81–79 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +4.1 148.2 66% 77–71 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +3.1 149.0 58% 79–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ McNeese +0.3 152.7 54% 83–78 ✗
North Florida @ Jacksonville State +13.0 143.3 85% 88–76 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas -4.9 160.1 24% 95–93 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego -17.2 153.0 13% 92–62 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +18.3 140.4 91% 62–78 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming +2.9 134.9 66% 65–72 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +6.2 141.7 77% 59–84 ✓
Washington State @ Stanford -0.9 133.3 51% 66–60 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word -10.1 146.8 19% 63–60 ✓
Belmont @ Tennessee State -14.5 149.8 12% 88–61 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +6.0 143.9 75% 75–80 ✓
Idaho @ Southern Utah +11.1 159.0 86% 59–75 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +4.0 140.7 68% 66–78 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +12.5 143.2 86% 57–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +11.3 151.4 85% 60–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +0.4 128.5 38% 56–50 ✗
Pepperdine @ Pacific +2.2 137.5 64% 76–81 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +0.0 141.9 50% 66–51 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +5.8 137.1 76% 65–74 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -0.1 131.3 46% 53–52 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +10.4 134.6 85% 50–61 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.7 135.6 35% 83–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +2.5 137.7 53% 62–61 ✗
San Francisco @ BYU +4.0 145.4 66% 73–59 ✗
USC @ Arizona State -6.7 135.4 27% 58–53 ✓
Washington @ California +2.7 134.5 57% 84–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +1.9 130.9 56% 59–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -10.7 138.2 19% 75–54 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +6.7 140.4 78% 69–72 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +4.9 140.4 73% 61–71 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +10.4 157.1 86% 69–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Akron +6.6 143.1 80% 55–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.