That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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65–26 on winners spread MAE 10.0 91 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Kentucky +37.0 154.6 91% 59–108 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Florida +16.3 152.2 86% 68–93 ✓
Virginia @ St. John's +9.2 134.1 79% 55–80 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas Tech +13.6 153.5 86% 74–79 ✓
William & Mary @ NC State +11.6 156.0 82% 61–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Georgia State +5.2 144.0 55% 79–93 ✓
Army @ Manhattan +2.7 149.2 65% 79–80 ✓
VMI @ Davidson +10.5 149.2 78% 66–93 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +3.9 134.1 65% 67–78 ✓
Chicago State @ Indiana State +15.0 151.3 88% 61–97 ✓
Morgan State @ Buffalo +4.4 154.8 64% 73–82 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +12.4 149.7 86% 76–87 ✓
Drexel @ Fordham +4.0 136.2 62% 73–71 ✗
Merrimack @ Butler +12.6 128.6 82% 39–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Louisville +16.8 148.6 88% 61–76 ✓
Texas State @ Princeton +0.1 136.6 47% 83–80 ✗
VCU @ Nevada +4.1 134.7 67% 61–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State +10.4 138.0 82% 65–63 ✗
New Orleans @ Tulane +22.7 143.1 89% 93–87 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Southeast Missouri State -1.7 149.9 40% 72–64 ✓
Elon @ Notre Dame +6.5 147.2 70% 84–77 ✗
Pacific @ Missouri +25.2 149.4 89% 56–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Houston +22.9 132.5 90% 44–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Creighton +9.2 145.7 68% 74–63 ✗
South Dakota @ Southern Indiana +2.2 155.9 57% 83–92 ✓
Utah Valley @ Murray State +10.5 146.4 77% 77–75 ✗
Green Bay @ Evansville -4.5 147.9 37% 81–98 ✗
South Carolina State @ Alabama A&M -0.7 144.5 29% 82–70 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona +6.7 139.6 77% 74–75 ✓
Rice @ Houston Christian -5.3 132.0 25% 61–58 ✓
Portland State @ Milwaukee +1.2 153.8 56% 74–91 ✓
Pepperdine @ Northwestern +17.8 138.7 89% 50–68 ✓
Utah State @ Iowa -1.1 156.0 42% 77–69 ✓
George Washington @ Kansas State -1.9 143.8 45% 71–83 ✗
Omaha @ Alabama State -0.6 146.9 47% 67–85 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming +3.5 141.3 62% 61–64 ✓
Mississippi State @ SMU +3.6 159.3 57% 84–79 ✗
Little Rock @ Arkansas +11.9 135.9 80% 67–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ Grand Canyon -1.8 145.0 47% 73–91 ✗
UC Riverside @ Colorado State +11.6 146.8 84% 77–75 ✗
UC Irvine @ Weber State -13.2 134.0 16% 93–87 ✓
Tennessee @ Baylor -4.0 146.8 26% 77–62 ✓
Texas @ Saint Joseph's -4.8 145.0 28% 67–58 ✓
Southern Utah @ San Diego +0.4 143.2 52% 72–67 ✗
North Dakota @ Loyola Marymount +4.9 134.5 71% 77–73 ✗
Alcorn State @ Washington +17.7 131.7 90% 60–77 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA +25.9 133.3 91% 47–80 ✓
Duke @ Arizona -0.2 154.9 35% 69–55 ✓
Wichita State @ Saint Louis -3.5 152.0 24% 88–63 ✓
North Carolina @ Hawai'i -7.5 154.7 20% 87–69 ✓
Georgia @ Marquette +5.1 147.1 66% 69–80 ✓
La Salle @ Stetson -10.8 145.5 19% 92–77 ✓
Florida International @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.5 139.2 45% 76–73 ✗
Marshall @ Purdue +14.5 148.0 83% 45–80 ✓
Presbyterian @ Monmouth -7.0 137.8 26% 71–61 ✓
Delaware @ Vermont -0.4 135.1 45% 71–75 ✗
West Georgia @ Georgia Southern +12.5 150.8 86% 54–64 ✓
Boston University @ UMBC +2.1 136.2 43% 75–71 ✗
Saint Francis @ Georgetown +10.6 138.4 83% 65–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Charlotte +11.1 140.2 83% 79–76 ✗
East Carolina @ UIC +2.5 154.7 62% 72–55 ✗
Northeastern @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.2 131.4 59% 59–55 ✗
Quinnipiac @ UMass Lowell +3.8 148.0 70% 70–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Kansas City -7.1 132.7 29% 67–65 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Portland State -0.5 156.7 50% 91–65 ✓
Brown @ Canisius -7.0 142.3 22% 83–76 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia Tech -7.0 145.5 26% 81–58 ✓
South Carolina State @ IU Indianapolis -3.1 141.9 29% 72–62 ✓
New Hampshire @ Marist +13.3 143.0 86% 49–54 ✓
Furman @ Charleston Southern -5.6 146.2 28% 67–46 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +16.3 139.0 87% 66–91 ✓
UAB @ Illinois State +3.8 146.2 62% 83–84 ✓
Bowling Green @ Bellarmine -0.6 147.6 52% 68–80 ✗
James Madison @ Jacksonville State -0.0 139.2 46% 71–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Illinois +29.2 152.7 90% 40–87 ✓
Delaware State @ Mount St. Mary's +8.2 139.2 78% 66–76 ✓
Omaha @ Akron +4.4 150.2 67% 84–92 ✓
Wofford @ Milwaukee +2.8 138.2 65% 74–76 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wake Forest +10.4 139.8 81% 57–67 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.8 152.7 75% 61–82 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Alabama A&M -0.9 135.7 41% 70–77 ✗
Idaho @ Southern Utah +4.9 146.2 78% 67–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Temple +2.6 152.2 62% 80–87 ✓
Northern Illinois @ DePaul +19.8 138.8 88% 52–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ North Alabama +10.1 147.7 75% 62–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Long Beach State +0.4 139.0 39% 72–69 ✗
Louisiana @ George Washington +18.6 145.6 89% 74–83 ✓
Toledo @ UC San Diego -1.2 147.5 42% 45–80 ✗
Tulsa @ Loyola Chicago +10.6 156.6 81% 53–89 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Queens University -1.8 147.3 36% 74–98 ✗
Lamar @ Alabama State +5.2 147.5 68% 75–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.