What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–16 on winners spread MAE 9.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Youngstown State @ Stephen F. Austin +4.4 131.8 65% 57–64 ✓
New Mexico State @ UNLV +14.2 144.9 84% 65–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Columbia +18.4 148.4 89% 63–82 ✓
Kent State @ Cleveland State +0.6 132.7 48% 68–52 ✗
Rider @ Bucknell +6.9 145.7 71% 57–53 ✗
Cal Poly @ Saint Mary's +12.8 155.0 81% 66–80 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Northern Colorado +18.6 156.7 88% 98–114 ✓
Eastern Washington @ California Baptist +4.5 153.1 73% 68–79 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ BYU +38.7 142.7 91% 43–87 ✓
Stanford @ Santa Clara -3.6 144.9 27% 71–69 ✓
Portland @ Princeton +8.1 144.5 71% 67–94 ✓
St. John's @ Georgia -1.3 151.2 48% 63–66 ✗
Hampton @ Boise State +21.2 135.3 90% 69–83 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Northeastern +6.3 137.5 79% 68–60 ✗
American University @ UAlbany +4.2 130.5 64% 81–77 ✗
Holy Cross @ Maine +3.2 139.3 67% 55–80 ✓
Boston University @ Howard +4.7 137.0 55% 69–62 ✗
Omaha @ Lamar -1.2 146.9 39% 65–59 ✓
Wofford @ Portland State -2.0 145.3 49% 74–79 ✗
Charleston @ Rhode Island +10.6 160.8 78% 53–91 ✓
Miami @ VCU +3.8 144.1 64% 70–77 ✓
Rutgers @ Kennesaw State +3.8 154.1 59% 77–79 ✓
South Florida @ Wright State +5.9 148.7 69% 73–72 ✗
William & Mary @ App State -1.8 142.9 42% 76–79 ✗
Vermont @ Fairfield -3.2 130.6 44% 66–67 ✗
Binghamton @ Central Connecticut +11.9 132.2 86% 56–64 ✓
Villanova @ Maryland +14.7 144.1 85% 75–76 ✓
South Dakota State @ Duquesne -6.3 150.7 28% 71–60 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Valparaiso +4.6 144.0 69% 53–81 ✓
Bryant @ St. Bonaventure +13.1 149.3 84% 70–85 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Central Arkansas -5.0 143.9 38% 83–92 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Milwaukee +1.0 151.2 61% 65–69 ✓
LSU @ UCF -3.4 143.5 38% 109–102 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Nevada +3.8 140.1 65% 78–90 ✓
Florida International @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.2 132.1 69% 59–60 ✓
Alabama State @ Akron +2.5 154.3 66% 78–97 ✓
North Alabama @ Northwestern State -1.8 145.9 43% 58–71 ✗
Florida State @ Massachusetts -3.6 152.4 31% 92–59 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Utah Tech -12.5 151.8 17% 89–79 ✓
Towson @ Morgan State -0.5 139.2 41% 64–60 ✓
Campbell @ Evansville +2.3 141.9 54% 53–66 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Air Force +2.4 127.9 49% 48–82 ✓
Sacramento State @ California +10.2 134.6 79% 77–83 ✓
Alcorn State @ UC Riverside +17.7 136.4 90% 52–69 ✓
Idaho @ San Diego +2.2 141.5 59% 61–68 ✓
Missouri State @ High Point +3.5 148.6 58% 71–61 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Missouri +40.2 152.5 91% 63–112 ✓
Queens University @ East Tennessee State +9.8 144.9 79% 67–82 ✓
Jackson State @ Lipscomb +13.2 145.8 88% 53–77 ✓
Longwood @ McNeese +1.0 133.2 53% 69–84 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Bradley +2.2 147.4 62% 69–80 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Seton Hall -4.9 138.4 41% 61–63 ✗
Yale @ Delaware -8.1 151.1 25% 94–100 ✗
Wisconsin @ Pittsburgh +7.7 150.8 57% 81–75 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.