Betting Lines
| Spread | VAL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VAL -275 EIU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +28 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | VAL -4.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAL -3.4 (+24.6) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAL -4.1 (+23.9) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAL -4.5 (+23.5) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAL -4.6 (+23.4) | 144.0 (-10.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2025 | VAL 66 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#310) | -6.4 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#277) | -1.16 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#290) | -1.65 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#316) | 0.515 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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