Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CAL -1800 SAC +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -12.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -12.4 (-6.4) | 137.2 (+22.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -9.9 (-3.9) | 135.7 (+24.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -11.1 (-5.1) | 136.1 (+23.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -10.2 (-4.2) | 134.6 (+25.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | CAL 91 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-11 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | -1.5 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#21) | -1.87 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.38 (#20) | -2.64 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#28) | 0.356 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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