I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Levien Gymnasium · November 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -11.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money COLU -700 / STBK +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +19 145 Won
Massey COLU -19.3 (-0.3)
Massey Totals 156.4 (-11.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -11.9 (+7.1) 145.8 (-0.8) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -14.5 (+4.5) 148.8 (-3.8) 88%
Baseline ML COLU -17.6 (+1.4) 149.9 (-4.9) 88%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -18.4 (+0.6) 148.4 (-3.4) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2025 STBK 7773 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU STBK
Overall 12-15 8-24
Conference 1-13 4-14
Home 9-6 5-9
Away 3-9 3-13
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 5-0 1-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 65.6
Avg Pts Against 80.6 75.1
Massey 3.2 (#123) -9.8 (#328)
Bradley-Terry 3.46 (#8) -0.14 (#198)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.06 (#10) -2.06 (#280)
RPI 0.585 (#73) 0.536 (#123)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU STBK
FG% 48.1% 38.5%
3PT% 36.3% 32.2%
REB / G 34.8 31.5
OREB / G 10.5 10.2
AST / TO 1.56 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.8% 44.6%
TOV% 16.0% 19.3%
ORB% 32.5% 25.8%
FT Rate 29.6% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 60.2%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 13.4%
DRB% 72.6% 63.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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