Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +180 COLU -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -3.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -3.3 (+7.3) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -2.4 (+6.4) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -2.4 (+6.4) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -2.8 (+6.8) | 139.4 (+10.6) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | COLU 82 – 63 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#186) | 7.0 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#118) | 2.61 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#146) | 3.49 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#129) | 0.567 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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