Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -800 NMSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -13.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -14.2 (-7.2) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -12.1 (-5.1) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -11.6 (-4.6) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -13.5 (-6.5) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#93) | -2.2 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#118) | 1.18 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#96) | 1.37 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#103) | 0.584 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 9.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.