Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +110 OMA -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -2.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.3 (-5.7) | 144.7 (-20.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -1.2 (-4.8) | 145.5 (-21.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -1.7 (-4.3) | 145.6 (-21.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -1.2 (-4.8) | 146.9 (-22.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | OMA 85 – 82 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#258) | -2.4 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#324) | -1.13 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#305) | -1.70 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.319 (#353) | 0.418 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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