I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Montagne Center · December 21, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -5.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money LAM -238 / OMA +195
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual OMA +3 167 Lost
Massey LAM -5.2 (-8.2)
Massey Totals 141.2 (+25.8)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 59%
Efficiency Plus ML LAM -4.0 (-7.0) 137.5 (+29.5) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -2.9 (-5.9) 138.2 (+28.8) 63%
Baseline ML LAM -3.5 (-6.5) 137.5 (+29.5) 63%
Baseline Plus ML LAM -3.7 (-6.7) 138.2 (+28.8) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 24, 2024 OMA 6559 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM OMA
Overall 12-19 16-17
Conference 7-15 8-8
Home 7-8 10-4
Away 5-10 5-10
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 73.9
Avg Pts Against 70.5 77.7
Massey -4.9 (#245) -5.9 (#266)
Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#268) -1.00 (#258)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.74 (#274) -1.30 (#249)
RPI 0.395 (#332) 0.454 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM OMA
FG% 40.7% 43.9%
3PT% 33.3% 34.1%
REB / G 35.5 33.1
OREB / G 12.0 9.6
AST / TO 1.15 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 50.9%
TOV% 17.7% 18.0%
ORB% 31.3% 27.5%
FT Rate 17.5% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 15.2%
DRB% 70.9% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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