Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN -165 CAM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -2.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -2.3 (+10.7) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -3.0 (+10.0) | 143.4 (-24.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -2.8 (+10.2) | 143.4 (-24.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -2.3 (+10.7) | 138.3 (-19.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | EVAN 72 – 66 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#314) | -5.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#257) | -1.02 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#246) | -0.41 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#245) | 0.412 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 60.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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