And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Seton Hall Pirates
63 61
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Florida Atlantic Owls
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money HALL +120 / FAU -140
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +2 124 Won
Massey FAU -9.2 (+11.2)
Massey Totals 146.3 (-22.3)
Bradley-Terry 9%
Weighted B-T 6%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -4.9 (+6.9) 138.4 (-14.4) 41%
Baseline ML FAU -4.4 (+6.4) 135.5 (-11.5) 30%
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -3.6 (+5.6) 137.2 (-13.2) 34%
Efficiency Plus ML FAU -2.6 (+4.6) 134.0 (-10.0) 49%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL FAU
Overall 7-25 18-16
Conference 2-18 10-8
Home 5-11 8-5
Away 0-11 6-7
Neutral 2-3 4-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 61.6 78.1
Avg Pts Against 70.2 76.4
Massey -0.1 (#166) 9.0 (#56)
Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#222) 1.86 (#53)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.46 (#168) 3.14 (#46)
RPI 0.495 (#185) 0.694 (#14)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL FAU
FG% 38.6% 49.9%
3PT% 38.5% 41.8%
REB / G 36.5 34.8
OREB / G 11.5 7.0
AST / TO 0.73 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.6% 58.5%
TOV% 23.2% 18.4%
ORB% 33.2% 21.1%
FT Rate 22.4% 33.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.3% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 22.8% 19.0%
DRB% 75.8% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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