Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | USD -165 IDHO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | USD -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -3.3 (+3.7) | 140.3 (-11.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -3.7 (+3.3) | 142.6 (-13.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -3.1 (+3.9) | 144.5 (-15.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -2.2 (+4.8) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | USD 78 – 74 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-13 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#318) | -7.0 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#348) | -1.73 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#332) | -2.03 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.294 (#361) | 0.467 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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