Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | USD +105 IDHO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | USD -1.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.0 (+4.0) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -1.6 (+2.4) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.1 (+6.1) | 135.0 (+17.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | USD 68 – 61 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#269) | 4.3 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#340) | 2.21 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#339) | 2.93 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#334) | 0.688 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 59.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 6.9% |
| DRB% | 59.4% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 43.9% |
Game Analysis
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