Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -3000 PV +1250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +16 | 212 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -23.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+51.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -18.6 (-2.6) | 156.7 (+55.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -18.8 (-2.8) | 155.1 (+56.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -17.0 (-1.0) | 159.1 (+52.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -15.2 (+0.8) | 166.9 (+45.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 3-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#71) | -9.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#41) | -1.99 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#26) | -2.93 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.724 (#10) | 0.361 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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