Northeastern
Huskies
60
–
68
FINAL
Neutral
Homewood Suites Classic
Cal State Bakersfield
Roadrunners
Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | NE -280 CSUB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -7.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.3 (-14.3) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -7.1 (-15.1) | 138.4 (-10.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -7.2 (-15.2) | 137.4 (-9.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.3 (-14.3) | 132.8 (-4.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | -2.3 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#129) | -1.34 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#136) | -1.71 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#162) | 0.394 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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