Nevada
Wolf Pack
90
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Oklahoma State
Cowboys
Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -250 OKST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +12 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -5.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -3.8 (+8.2) | 140.1 (+27.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -4.7 (+7.3) | 139.7 (+28.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -5.7 (+6.3) | 137.9 (+30.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -6.5 (+5.5) | 138.1 (+29.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#44) | 4.6 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#44) | 1.07 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#42) | 1.67 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#24) | 0.570 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 48.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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