They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
48–17 on winners spread MAE 8.8 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Kentucky +19.0 159.4 96% 82–118 ✓
Alabama @ Ohio State -17.8 153.1 5% 81–92 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Kentucky +8.9 143.4 79% 65–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ East Tennessee State +4.9 142.9 67% 71–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Providence +12.5 141.4 87% 64–78 ✓
George Washington @ Ohio -4.7 140.2 34% 99–94 ✓
Youngstown State @ Dayton +17.6 136.1 95% 69–77 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fairfield -1.3 149.0 45% 83–80 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Hawai'i +8.9 154.7 79% 57–76 ✓
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma State +19.4 157.4 96% 65–92 ✓
North Florida @ LSU +17.9 150.6 95% 63–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Clemson +20.7 151.6 97% 69–90 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arizona State +3.9 137.2 64% 67–82 ✓
VCU @ Boise State -3.1 136.7 39% 61–65 ✗
Western Illinois @ Illinois +24.8 134.3 99% 52–84 ✓
Stanford @ Northern Iowa +0.1 168.5 50% 51–73 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Cal State Northridge +22.6 139.9 98% 48–84 ✓
Le Moyne @ Pacific +5.8 141.2 70% 71–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon +3.4 140.5 62% 88–82 ✗
NC State @ BYU +15.7 144.0 92% 86–95 ✓
San Diego @ Arkansas State -0.9 159.2 47% 71–57 ✓
Brown @ Kansas City -5.6 146.9 31% 93–83 ✓
Tennessee State @ SE Louisiana -4.9 140.2 33% 91–77 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Missouri +10.4 131.6 83% 70–78 ✓
Jackson State @ Georgetown +14.4 156.3 90% 81–88 ✓
NJIT @ Wagner +14.7 135.6 91% 51–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty +35.4 148.4 100% 62–99 ✓
Merrimack @ Alabama State -7.9 149.1 24% 60–66 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ North Dakota +3.1 158.2 61% 69–71 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +3.3 136.7 62% 56–75 ✓
Mercer @ Western Michigan -5.9 135.2 30% 66–72 ✗
Ohio @ Middle Tennessee -5.0 124.6 32% 80–68 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Canisius -3.6 145.1 37% 77–85 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +20.2 138.5 97% 74–93 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton +24.1 135.5 99% 66–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ SIU Edwardsville +13.2 129.3 88% 67–81 ✓
East Carolina @ George Mason +17.1 142.6 94% 59–81 ✓
UMBC @ William & Mary +9.7 174.5 81% 81–96 ✓
Monmouth @ Lafayette -6.2 143.6 29% 63–53 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri State +27.7 147.3 99% 74–92 ✓
Miami (OH) @ St. Bonaventure +4.4 135.7 66% 60–90 ✓
Army @ Binghamton +20.0 123.4 97% 68–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Milwaukee +7.4 144.6 75% 90–84 ✗
UT Martin @ Chicago State +0.5 154.6 52% 94–71 ✗
Tulsa @ Little Rock +5.1 156.7 68% 82–84 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington +8.0 134.2 77% 73–66 ✗
St. Thomas @ Green Bay +0.1 123.2 51% 51–64 ✓
Lamar @ Longwood +6.2 157.2 71% 72–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Samford +22.3 162.8 98% 83–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Arkansas +4.5 137.5 66% 74–71 ✗
Alabama @ Oregon -15.9 162.0 7% 99–91 ✓
Southern @ Valparaiso -0.6 156.1 48% 59–71 ✗
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +3.9 149.2 64% 87–83 ✗
Incarnate Word @ UTSA +1.8 162.1 57% 80–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.3 162.3 45% 91–90 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Francis +3.9 145.6 64% 69–61 ✗
Bucknell @ Marist +15.4 127.3 92% 49–73 ✓
Long Island University @ Northern Kentucky +11.9 151.6 86% 64–72 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Greensboro -5.7 140.3 30% 77–88 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.6 149.4 73% 71–55 ✗
Belmont @ Pennsylvania +12.1 167.7 87% 84–79 ✗
Wofford @ UNC Asheville -9.2 166.5 20% 82–85 ✗
Delaware State @ Bethune-Cookman -1.7 147.3 44% 72–64 ✓
Georgia State @ Charlotte +9.9 131.8 82% 57–65 ✓
Furman @ UAB +7.1 154.7 74% 86–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.