I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–13 on winners spread MAE 9.6 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Washington @ UIC +4.0 137.2 64% 79–89 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Cleveland State +15.8 148.8 92% 59–86 ✓
UTEP @ Loyola Marymount +4.7 140.4 66% 47–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ St. John's +16.6 152.9 93% 45–91 ✓
Queens University @ Richmond +18.5 141.5 95% 61–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Santa Clara -4.3 140.1 35% 86–56 ✓
Texas Southern @ Drake +21.2 135.0 97% 71–77 ✓
California @ San Diego State +18.2 161.1 95% 67–76 ✓
South Alabama @ Maryland +13.1 132.1 88% 55–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Wichita State +25.1 137.1 99% 67–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Lipscomb +11.8 149.6 86% 82–61 ✗
Arkansas State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -7.3 161.1 25% 75–58 ✓
Dartmouth @ Saint Louis +22.3 148.7 98% 65–66 ✓
Vermont @ Bradley +9.0 133.9 79% 70–79 ✓
North Dakota State @ Grand Canyon +15.4 151.0 92% 71–86 ✓
Northern Illinois @ DePaul -3.1 147.4 39% 89–79 ✓
San Diego @ Hawai'i +0.9 134.8 53% 66–77 ✓
Penn State @ VCU -2.1 132.4 43% 74–86 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Kansas City -3.7 131.5 37% 63–59 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Western Kentucky +11.2 158.5 85% 77–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Belmont +4.5 150.5 66% 69–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Louisville +11.1 145.7 84% 84–90 ✓
Coppin State @ La Salle +22.5 135.0 98% 62–81 ✓
Austin Peay @ App State +17.8 133.8 95% 58–78 ✓
Lamar @ Delaware State -7.8 151.5 24% 84–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Eastern Michigan -5.2 145.7 32% 72–70 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Joseph's +7.5 148.4 75% 55–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Virginia Tech -0.2 156.2 49% 84–50 ✓
Ohio @ Brown -6.8 162.0 27% 82–77 ✓
Air Force @ South Dakota +3.7 141.7 63% 58–57 ✗
Iona @ Colorado +13.7 152.7 89% 68–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Wofford -10.5 169.1 17% 85–78 ✓
Denver @ East Texas A&M +1.9 154.7 57% 71–61 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +17.0 147.3 94% 56–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coastal Carolina +4.2 153.8 65% 70–58 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Robert Morris +10.3 160.9 82% 86–97 ✓
Drexel @ Old Dominion +3.1 128.8 61% 61–68 ✓
Stonehill @ Quinnipiac +18.7 159.9 96% 69–80 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Nebraska +21.3 136.5 97% 72–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Pennsylvania +2.7 151.3 60% 61–76 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas +11.0 140.5 84% 63–86 ✓
UL Monroe @ SMU +17.1 132.0 94% 57–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Longwood +18.4 147.9 95% 48–69 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas -1.0 146.5 47% 79–74 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word -4.5 140.7 34% 67–65 ✓
Canisius @ Bowling Green -8.2 139.6 23% 73–77 ✗
Morgan State @ Towson +15.3 143.1 92% 58–67 ✓
Yale @ Rhode Island -0.7 153.6 48% 72–76 ✗
North Alabama @ Western Carolina +13.9 153.6 90% 63–81 ✓
Butler @ Boise State -8.1 149.4 23% 70–56 ✓
Long Beach State @ Montana State +3.5 141.3 63% 75–69 ✗
Stetson @ UCF +13.9 140.2 90% 85–82 ✗
George Washington @ Delaware -1.9 147.0 43% 81–71 ✓
Harvard @ Indiana -13.0 142.6 12% 76–89 ✗
UAlbany @ Siena -7.7 141.2 24% 86–51 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +8.5 131.4 78% 58–62 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Pacific +19.3 129.6 96% 65–68 ✓
Charleston @ Kent State +16.0 148.5 93% 84–78 ✗
UC San Diego @ Seattle U +12.0 139.7 86% 67–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida International +6.5 158.1 72% 84–91 ✓
Texas A&M @ Iowa State +6.6 148.3 73% 73–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.