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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 13.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UIC
@
UNC Greensboro
|
-7.9 | 142.8 | 24% | 57–58 | ✗ |
Sacramento State
@
UC Davis
|
+15.2 | 144.5 | 92% | 69–63 | ✗ |
Minnesota
@
San Francisco
|
+7.0 | 132.3 | 74% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Xavier
|
+12.3 | 144.2 | 87% | 78–76 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.