Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | SF -210 MINN +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SF -7.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -8.2 (+9.8) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -7.4 (+10.6) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -6.6 (+11.4) | 134.3 (-0.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -8.0 (+10.0) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | SF 77 – 65 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 16-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#62) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#141) | -1.03 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#106) | -1.17 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#162) | 0.466 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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