I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Seton Hall -5.3 143.0 29% 60–75 ✗
Baylor @ Duke -0.6 148.3 49% 70–78 ✗
Xavier @ St. John's +4.9 146.7 73% 66–81 ✓
Grambling @ SE Louisiana +5.5 131.0 73% 47–48 ✓
Rider @ Delaware +10.6 142.6 80% 88–85 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Georgia +9.9 144.9 81% 82–94 ✓
Robert Morris @ Saint Francis -2.3 133.4 32% 75–73 ✓
Delaware State @ East Carolina +8.3 137.4 78% 50–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ NC State +12.6 151.2 86% 70–82 ✓
Wyoming @ South Dakota State +2.5 140.8 56% 78–65 ✗
Vermont @ Toledo +5.2 141.0 64% 86–60 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Pittsburgh +12.4 148.7 84% 48–62 ✓
Oakland @ Dayton +12.1 138.9 85% 67–91 ✓
Radford @ West Virginia +4.2 136.1 63% 66–65 ✗
Kansas City @ East Tennessee State +5.5 137.5 72% 57–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ Belmont +7.5 156.1 78% 70–74 ✓
North Dakota @ Nebraska +17.9 142.4 88% 75–83 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice +5.6 144.0 76% 56–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Evansville +10.5 149.2 83% 51–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grand Canyon +13.1 144.3 87% 64–76 ✓
Liberty @ Utah Valley -3.3 129.3 35% 79–63 ✓
UMBC @ Iowa +21.5 163.8 90% 81–103 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Chicago State +3.9 136.4 75% 54–55 ✓
Northwestern @ Arizona State -4.4 137.6 30% 65–46 ✓
North Carolina @ Oklahoma +2.6 152.6 57% 81–69 ✗
Villanova @ Creighton +9.7 141.9 78% 68–66 ✗
Jackson State @ Gonzaga +22.0 149.4 90% 76–100 ✓
UC Irvine @ New Mexico +7.1 149.1 77% 65–78 ✓
Bellarmine @ Utah +18.9 143.2 89% 43–85 ✓
Norfolk State @ UTEP +2.3 134.6 61% 65–67 ✓
Howard @ UC Santa Barbara +7.9 149.5 80% 81–94 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Seattle U +2.2 134.1 60% 73–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ San Francisco +15.6 129.5 87% 51–91 ✓
Santa Clara @ San José State +1.8 145.0 59% 78–81 ✓
Pacific @ Cal State Fullerton +11.6 130.8 87% 56–67 ✓
Alabama @ Arizona +4.5 166.4 65% 74–87 ✓
Dartmouth @ Sacred Heart +2.9 132.8 66% 57–67 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fordham +8.9 136.5 79% 82–80 ✗
Hampton @ Eastern Michigan +5.4 143.4 72% 69–72 ✓
UT Arlington @ Texas Tech +15.1 146.0 88% 66–77 ✓
Navy @ Youngstown State +9.2 139.7 79% 65–75 ✓
Manhattan @ Monmouth +9.1 141.9 84% 71–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Harvard +17.3 144.1 91% 72–74 ✓
Alcorn State @ George Washington +14.6 157.0 89% 75–79 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UIC +13.5 144.3 83% 67–66 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Lafayette -2.8 138.2 36% 78–60 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Little Rock +0.7 137.2 50% 90–60 ✗
Nevada @ Temple -6.3 148.8 28% 80–56 ✓
Presbyterian @ Wake Forest +19.6 146.4 90% 68–91 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Air Force +7.2 138.8 75% 83–79 ✗
Niagara @ Syracuse +16.6 150.4 90% 71–83 ✓
American University @ Virginia Tech +17.2 137.1 89% 55–77 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Coastal Carolina +6.0 153.0 57% 85–82 ✗
TCU @ Old Dominion -13.1 149.4 14% 111–87 ✓
Kentucky @ Louisville -9.3 157.6 16% 95–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston College +13.8 152.4 85% 69–85 ✓
Western Michigan @ Cleveland State +10.1 141.6 84% 77–90 ✓
New Orleans @ Ohio State +23.5 154.3 91% 36–78 ✓
New Hampshire @ Rhode Island +1.3 147.6 52% 81–71 ✗
Jacksonville @ Purdue +27.1 157.1 91% 57–100 ✓
Tarleton State @ Tennessee +18.2 138.7 89% 46–65 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Akron +11.3 134.9 84% 90–94 ✓
Stony Brook @ Michigan State +22.0 141.7 90% 55–99 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.