Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | OSU -7000 UNO +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +42 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -23.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-43.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -23.5 (+18.5) | 154.3 (-40.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -20.6 (+21.4) | 152.2 (-38.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -22.3 (+19.7) | 152.9 (-38.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -23.3 (+18.7) | 149.5 (-35.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 81.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#34) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#62) | -1.57 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#54) | -1.78 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#62) | 0.416 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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