Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -1600 NIA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -22.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -16.6 (-4.6) | 150.4 (+3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -18.5 (-6.5) | 149.2 (+4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -21.1 (-9.1) | 148.6 (+5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -20.1 (-8.1) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | SYR 75 – 45 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#77) | -11.1 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#40) | -2.18 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#47) | -2.96 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#15) | 0.384 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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