And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Beeghly Center · December 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 138.0 Over
Money YSU -600 / NAVY +430
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +10 140 Won
Massey YSU -11.1 (-1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 131.3 (+8.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -9.2 (+0.8) 139.7 (+0.3) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -9.1 (+0.9) 136.0 (+4.0) 82% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -9.0 (+1.0) 135.5 (+4.5) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -8.5 (+1.5) 139.1 (+0.9) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2022 NAVY 80 – 67 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU NAVY
Overall 22-10 13-18
Conference 14-6 8-10
Home 14-3 10-5
Away 8-7 3-13
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.4 65.6
Avg Pts Against 72.4 67.8
Massey 3.3 (#119) -3.2 (#228)
Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#92) -2.46 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.21 (#105) -3.23 (#328)
RPI 0.546 (#106) 0.373 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU NAVY
FG% 42.4% 37.2%
3PT% 32.0% 24.9%
REB / G 39.8 36.9
OREB / G 12.0 12.6
AST / TO 1.00 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 41.6%
TOV% 16.8% 17.9%
ORB% 31.5% 31.5%
FT Rate 17.6% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 23.1%
DRB% 73.3% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 32.1%

Game Analysis

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