Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -480 UCI +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -7.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -7.1 (+5.9) | 149.1 (-6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -8.2 (+4.8) | 149.1 (-6.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -8.0 (+5.0) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -7.1 (+5.9) | 151.3 (-8.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#19) | 10.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#33) | 1.44 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#41) | 1.85 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#25) | 0.581 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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