Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -225 GRAM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +1 | 95 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -8.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-38.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.0 (-5.0) | 130.4 (-35.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -7.1 (-6.1) | 132.8 (-37.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -6.0 (-5.0) | 133.3 (-38.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.5 (-4.5) | 131.0 (-36.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2024 | SELA 75 – 65 GRAM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | SELA 77 – 70 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#303) | -12.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#310) | -3.17 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#276) | -4.30 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#310) | 0.420 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 25.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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