Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -145 SELA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -4.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.7 (-10.7) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -0.9 (-10.9) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.5 (-10.5) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -1.8 (-11.8) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | SELA 48 – 47 GRAM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | SELA 77 – 70 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#217) | -3.0 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#332) | -1.47 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#344) | -1.93 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#278) | 0.417 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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