Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | GW -2000 ALCN +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GW -21.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -14.6 (-10.6) | 157.0 (-3.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -15.9 (-11.9) | 158.6 (-4.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -18.3 (-14.3) | 158.0 (-4.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -17.9 (-13.9) | 156.1 (-2.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#101) | -12.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#66) | -2.57 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#71) | -3.43 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#71) | 0.416 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.