Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | CSUF -900 PAC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -17.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -13.6 (-2.6) | 133.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -11.6 (-0.6) | 130.8 (-7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -12.9 (-1.9) | 132.1 (-9.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -13.8 (-2.8) | 133.3 (-10.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | PAC 85 – 73 CSUF |
| Dec 1, 2024 | PAC 64 – 55 CSUF |
| Nov 19, 2022 | CSUF 94 – 91 PAC |
| Dec 5, 2021 | CSUF 66 – 57 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 0-16 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-12 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#258) | -16.9 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#128) | -1.77 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#144) | -2.65 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#95) | 0.401 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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