Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -2400 BELL +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +42 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -20.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -18.9 (+23.1) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -17.3 (+24.7) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -18.6 (+23.4) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -18.4 (+23.6) | 142.9 (-14.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#26) | -3.8 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#24) | -1.30 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#29) | -1.18 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#18) | 0.462 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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