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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
50–12 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
62 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+14.8 | 149.2 | 87% | 55–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.1 | 141.4 | 87% | 59–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 150.8 | 89% | 73–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 137.4 | 70% | 57–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.5 | 142.3 | 90% | 66–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+19.0 | 148.1 | 90% | 71–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.9 | 152.0 | 75% | 81–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 134.6 | 69% | 63–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 148.2 | 53% | 78–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.7 | 145.6 | 78% | 76–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 132.7 | 61% | 65–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.9 | 134.1 | 53% | 65–84 | ✗ |
|
|
-9.4 | 149.8 | 19% | 87–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.0 | 133.1 | 57% | 74–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 146.5 | 68% | 82–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.9 | 146.7 | 76% | 59–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 152.1 | 44% | 92–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.0 | 140.9 | 91% | 56–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.1 | 125.6 | 90% | 37–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.4 | 149.0 | 88% | 67–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.7 | 148.8 | 91% | 59–97 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 155.2 | 52% | 76–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.6 | 141.6 | 85% | 63–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.2 | 134.2 | 83% | 64–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 138.1 | 58% | 63–53 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.6 | 133.4 | 71% | 67–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 134.4 | 86% | 64–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.4 | 141.0 | 91% | 48–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.5 | 149.5 | 85% | 66–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 147.3 | 62% | 60–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.7 | 151.5 | 88% | 60–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.3 | 151.9 | 76% | 70–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.0 | 152.2 | 84% | 66–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.6 | 156.4 | 88% | 66–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 149.2 | 60% | 73–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.5 | 140.1 | 70% | 67–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.8 | 154.7 | 81% | 66–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.2 | 132.5 | 87% | 56–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 143.1 | 55% | 56–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.2 | 135.3 | 55% | 53–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 134.3 | 50% | 61–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.0 | 148.2 | 85% | 56–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 145.0 | 52% | 86–104 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.3 | 134.2 | 36% | 71–63 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.9 | 161.9 | 13% | 89–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.0 | 137.6 | 37% | 69–70 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.9 | 154.9 | 31% | 90–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.6 | 149.4 | 59% | 83–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.0 | 153.3 | 51% | 69–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.1 | 129.3 | 76% | 52–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.7 | 135.8 | 89% | 67–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.7 | 151.9 | 82% | 73–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.7 | 145.7 | 89% | 55–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.1 | 145.8 | 36% | 78–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.7 | 151.6 | 86% | 60–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.9 | 139.1 | 75% | 55–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 141.1 | 74% | 70–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.9 | 146.1 | 90% | 57–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.9 | 148.7 | 52% | 88–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+18.4 | 155.4 | 90% | 79–109 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.8 | 137.1 | 26% | 92–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.2 | 142.7 | 88% | 43–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.