Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +32 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -35.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -27.4 (+4.6) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -25.6 (+6.4) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -32.1 (-0.1) | 142.6 (-14.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -32.9 (-0.9) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | ISU 78 – 53 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 22.3 (#5) | -8.6 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#70) | -2.81 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#70) | -3.66 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#132) | 0.391 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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