Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | M-OH +178 UVM -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -2.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -2.9 (+3.9) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -2.4 (+3.4) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -2.2 (+3.2) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.0 (+5.0) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UVM 75 – 67 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#241) | 3.4 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#249) | 1.41 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#245) | 1.55 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#243) | 0.565 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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