Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | MILW +152 UTC -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +2 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -2.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -0.6 (+2.6) | 149.4 (+18.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.2 (+3.2) | 150.0 (+18.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.8 (+2.8) | 149.2 (+18.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.5 (+2.5) | 150.1 (+17.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | UTC 88 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#309) | -2.0 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#296) | 0.21 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#320) | -0.01 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#295) | 0.466 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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