Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -450 MILW +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -7.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -10.7 (+1.3) | 144.8 (+19.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -5.8 (+6.2) | 145.2 (+18.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.2 (+5.8) | 145.9 (+18.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -7.1 (+4.9) | 144.8 (+19.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | MILW 85 – 83 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | 0.9 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#127) | 0.25 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#127) | 0.22 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#110) | 0.544 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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