Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SC -1100 ELON +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +27 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SC -17.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-41.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -13.2 (+13.8) | 142.7 (-29.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -16.0 (+11.0) | 149.3 (-36.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -16.6 (+10.4) | 149.6 (-36.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -16.4 (+10.6) | 148.2 (-35.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#82) | -5.9 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#5) | -0.39 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.29 (#4) | -0.74 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#17) | 0.470 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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